Another Housing V Shape Recovery Data Line

Today the Census reported an excellent beat in new home sales, which now has created another V shape recovery in the housing market for 2020. 

New Home Sales
Sales of new single-family houses in June 2020 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 776,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

This is 13.8 percent (±17.8 percent)* above the revised May rate of 682,000 and is 6.9 percent (±13.7 percent)* 
above the June 2019 estimate of 726,000.

Sales Price
The median sales price of new houses sold in June 2020 was $329,200. The average sales price was $384,700.

For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply
The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of June was 307,000. This represents a supply of 4.7 months at the current sales rate. The July report is scheduled for release.

The most critical housing chart we have is the monthly home supply for the new home sales market. This is much different than the existing home sales market. This has much more significant economic implications. Right now, it looks fantastic!

July Monthly Supply

Another V shape housing data line is confirmed. This is the new home sales data.July New home sales

The builder’s confidence index is another V-shape recovery data line.
July HMI

The most recent purchase application data, showed a 19% growth year over year this week. Notice the V shape here, and the last 9 weeks have demonstrated positive year over year growth.

MBAJuly222020

Sources: 
Logan Mohtashami | HousingWire
Mortgage Bankers AssociationMortgage Bankers Association

Post a Comment